Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 2
IND
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
RÑU
1 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
41%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 0
ARS
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
EME
1 - 2
OLI
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 2
GUA
31%
29%
41%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
IND
1 - 1
GUA
35%
29%
36%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
LQE
66%
22%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CCP
0 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |