Olimpia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 2
OLI
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
OLI
5 - 0
LQE
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
AME
0 - 4
OLI
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
OLI
3 - 1
GEN
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
IND
0 - 3
OLI
34%
29%
38%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAN
69%
21%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
CRZ
4 - 0
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 0
GUA
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAC
43%
28%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |