Olimpia vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 3
OLI
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 0
BOT
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 1
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 0
OLI
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
3 - 1
IVT
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 2
GEN
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 1
ATP
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
AME
1 - 1
DEP
33%
24%
43%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
ATP
3 - 3
DEP
39%
26%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 2
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |