Olimpia vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 2
OLI
17%
24%
59%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 0
GEN
69%
19%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
RÑU
0 - 0
OLI
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
LQE
0 - 1
OLI
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
OLI
3 - 0
RPA
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 1
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 1
DEP
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 1
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 2
DEP
34%
26%
41%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 0
LQE
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |