Olimpia vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 5
OLI
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 2
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
IND
1 - 1
OLI
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 1
LQE
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 1
SPT
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
CCP
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 0
GEN
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 2
CCP
25%
24%
51%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
CCP
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 0
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |