Oldham Athletic AFC vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
CRE
0 - 3
OLD
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
OLD
1 - 1
LEY
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
POS
2 - 2
OLD
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
OLD
1 - 1
BHA
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
OLD
3 - 2
WAL
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
CUM
3 - 0
HUR
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 0
CUM
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CUM
1 - 2
LEI
28%
26%
45%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
SWI
1 - 1
CUM
54%
24%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
CUM
0 - 2
CRE
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -2 |