Oldham Athletic AFC vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
DER
3 - 3
OLD
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
BOL
1 - 1
OLD
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
OLD
0 - 0
BOL
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
SHE
3 - 0
OLD
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
BRA
2 - 1
OLD
54%
22%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
SUN
5 - 1
ARS
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 2
SUN
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
ARS
3 - 2
TOT
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
TOT
2 - 1
ARS
65%
19%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 2
BRA
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |