Old Road vs Tryum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
6º
4º
25
5º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 31 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 28 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
61% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
93% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 6 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ORO
1 - 0
GRE
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ORO
3 - 3
SAP
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ORO
4 - 1
OTT
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ORO
1 - 2
ALL
64%
18%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -8 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 1
ORO
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tryum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HOP
0 - 1
TRY
57%
20%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TRY
1 - 4
GRE
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
TRY
2 - 1
PBU
50%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TRY
1 - 3
SAP
70%
16%
14%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -7 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 2
TRY
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |