Old Road vs SAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PBU
2 - 2
ORO
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ORO
0 - 1
HOP
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ORO
4 - 0
URL
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ORO
0 - 4
PAR
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2015 |
SAP
2 - 1
ORO
51%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SAP
2 - 1
VIR
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 5
SAP
48%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
CON
7 - 2
SAP
79%
15%
6%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
GUY
2 - 2
SAP
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAP
2 - 2
GRE
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |