Old Road vs Blue Jays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.8%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.4%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.7%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.5%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.7%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6%
2.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
6º
4º
10
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 31 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 28 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
61% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
93% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 6 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
ORO
4 - 1
WIL
62%
18%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ORO
0 - 2
TRY
56%
20%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ORO
1 - 0
GRE
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ORO
3 - 3
SAP
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ORO
4 - 1
OTT
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Blue Jays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
HOP
1 - 0
BLU
91%
6%
2%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
FIV
1 - 4
BLU
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
SWE
1 - 1
BLU
91%
7%
2%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SAP
1 - 2
BLU
94%
5%
1%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | +1 |