Old Boys vs Tavannes / Tramelan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
4º
1º
20
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LER
3 - 2
OLD
10%
15%
75%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ALL
1 - 3
OLD
17%
18%
66%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
OLD
3 - 2
STA
85%
9%
6%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
GUM
1 - 1
OLD
28%
20%
52%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PRA
3 - 1
OLD
23%
19%
58%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Tavannes / Tramelan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 1
ALL
65%
18%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
STA
1 - 3
TAV
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TAV
2 - 0
PRA
35%
21%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
DOR
4 - 1
TAV
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LYS
1 - 0
TAV
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |