Oita Trinita vs Mito Hollyhock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
OIT
1 - 2
VEN
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FAG
0 - 0
OIT
34%
28%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
OIT
2 - 1
TOK
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MIT
2 - 1
OIT
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
OIT
0 - 1
GIR
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mito Hollyhock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MIT
2 - 0
GAI
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
JEF
3 - 0
MIT
66%
21%
12%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
YOK
2 - 1
MIT
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MIT
2 - 1
OIT
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 0
MIT
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |