Oita Trinita vs Machida Zelvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
SHO
1 - 1
OIT
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
OIT
3 - 0
GAI
57%
24%
18%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 1
OIT
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
OIT
0 - 0
ROA
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
KYO
1 - 2
OIT
62%
22%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 6
JEF
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
KAT
1 - 1
MAC
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 1
GIR
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
YOK
2 - 4
MAC
37%
27%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 1
MAT
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |