Ocelotes de la UNACH vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ocelotes de la UNACH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATC
0 - 1
OUN
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
OUN
3 - 1
ACH
51%
24%
26%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
IAC
1 - 2
OUN
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
OUN
1 - 1
PDC
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
UAP
3 - 1
OUN
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAZ
3 - 0
RCU
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
IPC
1 - 1
CAZ
24%
26%
51%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAZ
0 - 1
TUT
71%
18%
10%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
TIA
1 - 0
CAZ
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ATC
3 - 2
CAZ
25%
28%
47%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |