Ocelotes de la UNACH vs Atl. Chiapas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ocelotes de la UNACH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
IAC
1 - 2
OUN
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
OUN
1 - 1
PDC
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
UAP
3 - 1
OUN
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
OUN
1 - 0
TOR
18%
27%
55%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
VER
0 - 4
OUN
48%
25%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Chiapas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ACH
5 - 0
RCU
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
IPC
2 - 2
ACH
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ACH
1 - 0
TUT
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 0
ACH
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ACH
1 - 2
CUA
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -2 |