Ocelotes de la UNACH vs Athletic Club Morelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ocelotes de la UNACH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
AME
2 - 2
OUN
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
OUN
1 - 1
PUE
49%
22%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
IPC
4 - 3
OUN
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
OUN
1 - 1
TIA
14%
21%
65%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
VER
1 - 0
OUN
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic Club Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ATM
2 - 1
ORI
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
RCU
1 - 0
ATM
47%
24%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ATM
4 - 2
JAS
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ATM
3 - 5
AME
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PUE
2 - 3
ATM
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |