Obrero vs Jorge Newbery Junín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
76.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Obrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 0
OBR
84%
12%
5%
|
7 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
AGR
4 - 0
OBR
87%
10%
4%
|
7 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
OTI
5 - 0
OBR
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
OBR
0 - 3
RIV
9%
17%
74%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BRC
3 - 2
OBR
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Jorge Newbery Junín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
JNJ
0 - 0
RIV
48%
25%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 1
JNJ
17%
20%
62%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
JNJ
1 - 2
OTI
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
JNJ
2 - 2
JUV
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
AGR
5 - 2
JNJ
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -2 |