Numancia vs Cacabelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
PON
0 - 1
NUM
46%
27%
27%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
NUM
3 - 1
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
SAL
4 - 2
NUM
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
NUM
6 - 1
AST
65%
21%
15%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
LEO
0 - 2
NUM
66%
21%
13%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Cacabelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
CAC
3 - 1
SEG
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
CFB
2 - 2
CAC
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
CAC
3 - 1
LER
37%
27%
35%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
CDL
0 - 1
CAC
37%
27%
37%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
PON
2 - 0
CAC
37%
27%
37%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |