Numancia vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
NUM
5 - 3
BAR
50%
21%
29%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
UES
4 - 3
NUM
70%
15%
14%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
NUM
2 - 2
SAB
44%
22%
34%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
RCF
0 - 0
NUM
66%
17%
17%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
NUM
2 - 1
SGL
59%
19%
22%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1951 |
UES
3 - 2
SPO
51%
21%
28%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
SPO
4 - 1
SAB
76%
14%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
RCF
1 - 1
SPO
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
SPO
7 - 0
SGL
74%
14%
12%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
BAD
0 - 3
SPO
47%
22%
31%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |