Numancia vs SD Indautxu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
3.93
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
8%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8%
5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
BIN
4 - 0
NUM
77%
14%
10%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
NUM
2 - 2
BUR
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
BAS
0 - 1
NUM
72%
16%
13%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
NUM
4 - 1
MIR
63%
18%
19%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
SSC
5 - 0
NUM
71%
16%
13%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SD Indautxu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
SDI
0 - 4
MON
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
BIN
1 - 0
SDI
83%
10%
7%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
SDI
0 - 6
AFT
90%
7%
3%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -2 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
POR
1 - 1
SDI
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
SDI
0 - 1
AZK
73%
15%
13%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |