Numancia vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
HUE
2 - 0
NUM
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NUM
1 - 1
GIM
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CCF
3 - 2
NUM
44%
28%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ATH
0 - 0
NUM
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NUM
1 - 0
PON
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
OVI
0 - 0
ATH
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PON
4 - 2
OVI
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
OVI
3 - 2
ALC
34%
28%
39%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
OVI
2 - 3
MIR
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VAD
2 - 3
OVI
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |