Numancia vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
COM
1 - 0
NUM
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
NUM
4 - 2
RCF
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
CDT
2 - 0
NUM
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
NUM
0 - 2
MUR
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
LEV
0 - 0
NUM
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
OVI
2 - 1
CDB
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
TER
2 - 2
OVI
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
OVI
1 - 2
EIB
59%
25%
16%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ALM
1 - 1
OVI
36%
28%
37%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
OVI
0 - 2
ZAR
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |