Numancia vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
NUM
37%
27%
35%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
NUM
1 - 1
ALB
59%
24%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
REC
1 - 3
NUM
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
NUM
1 - 1
HER
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CCF
2 - 1
NUM
40%
27%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
RAY
4 - 1
HUE
70%
20%
11%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
RSO
1 - 0
RAY
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
RAY
2 - 3
GIM
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 3
RAY
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
RAY
3 - 2
UDL
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |