Numancia vs Getafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
RMA
1 - 0
NUM
88%
9%
4%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
NUM
1 - 1
BET
30%
27%
44%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
NUM
2 - 0
REC
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 1
NUM
22%
28%
50%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
NUM
3 - 1
ALA
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Getafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
GET
1 - 2
MLL
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ZAR
3 - 1
GET
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
CDT
3 - 5
GET
53%
25%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
GET
2 - 1
EIB
57%
26%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
CIU
1 - 2
GET
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |