Numancia vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
45.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
NUM
3 - 2
COM
42%
24%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
RSO
2 - 1
NUM
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
NUM
3 - 1
RAY
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
COM
4 - 2
NUM
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ATM
2 - 2
NUM
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
CEL
1 - 0
RMA
42%
24%
35%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1999 |
CEL
7 - 0
SLB
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
VAD
1 - 3
CEL
34%
28%
38%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
CEL
5 - 1
BET
61%
22%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1999 |
CEL
2 - 0
ARI
68%
19%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |