Numancia vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1996 |
FCB
3 - 1
NUM
86%
10%
4%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
AMU
1 - 1
NUM
31%
28%
42%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
NUM
3 - 1
RUN
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1996 |
NUM
2 - 2
FCB
10%
22%
67%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
OSA
1 - 1
NUM
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
CDU
1 - 2
AVI
38%
29%
33%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
CUL
1 - 2
CDU
78%
15%
6%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
CDU
0 - 1
LEM
45%
28%
28%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
UPL
1 - 0
CDU
72%
19%
9%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
CDU
0 - 2
RSO
41%
29%
30%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |