Numancia vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
14%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
HUE
0 - 0
NUM
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
NUM
1 - 0
GIM
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CDT
1 - 1
NUM
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
NUM
1 - 1
CCF
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
NUM
2 - 0
ELC
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 3
FCB
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 1
ATH
21%
24%
56%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
ALC
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ALC
3 - 1
XER
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CEL
3 - 0
ALC
63%
24%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |