Numancia B vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SEG
2 - 0
NUM
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
NUM
0 - 2
GRA
30%
25%
45%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ACF
4 - 3
NUM
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
NUM
0 - 1
CAT
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SDA
0 - 1
NUM
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
AST
2 - 1
SAL
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
AVI
1 - 1
AST
40%
26%
35%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
AST
3 - 0
LVC
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CDB
2 - 1
AST
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SEG
1 - 4
AST
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |