Nueva Sevilla vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2005 |
NUE
1 - 3
PAL
33%
27%
40%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
ARC
2 - 2
NUE
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
DHE
3 - 0
NUE
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
NUE
4 - 2
SOL
41%
26%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
SFE
1 - 1
NUE
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2005 |
DHE
2 - 0
LUC
51%
25%
24%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
LUC
3 - 0
SOL
42%
26%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
SFE
1 - 0
LUC
67%
20%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
LUC
1 - 0
CAD
40%
27%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 0
LUC
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |