Nueva Concepción vs Quiché analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SJF
2 - 2
NUE
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NUE
1 - 0
SPD
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
VEN
0 - 2
NUE
45%
24%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CAT
1 - 0
NUE
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
NUE
2 - 1
COA
48%
24%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Quiché
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
SOL
24%
26%
51%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 0
QUI
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
LEO
41%
29%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
COA
3 - 0
QUI
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 1
SJF
31%
27%
43%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |