Nueva Carteya vs Salerm Puente Genil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nueva Carteya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
NUE
3 - 0
CDV
27%
24%
50%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
UDV
1 - 1
NUE
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
NUE
1 - 1
LAR
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
HIN
3 - 2
NUE
64%
20%
16%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
NUE
3 - 0
19%
22%
60%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Salerm Puente Genil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CDA
2 - 1
SAL
53%
23%
25%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 2
CDA
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CDA
0 - 2
PAL
33%
25%
43%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LAS
2 - 0
CDA
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CDA
1 - 1
ATC
32%
24%
43%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |