CF La Nucía vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF La Nucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
JOV
2 - 0
NUC
35%
27%
38%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
NUC
1 - 0
ALZ
29%
27%
45%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ACE
2 - 0
NUC
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
NUC
3 - 3
RIB
41%
26%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
CUL
1 - 0
NUC
48%
26%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
CRE
68%
21%
12%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
VIL
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 0
NOV
44%
28%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 3
MUR
49%
26%
25%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LLO
0 - 2
NOV
20%
25%
56%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |