Ñublense vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 2
NUB
14%
22%
65%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LOT
2 - 3
NUB
18%
24%
59%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
NUB
1 - 1
CUR
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
NTA
1 - 4
NUB
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NUB
2 - 0
MAG
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CUR
0 - 3
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
NTA
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
COQ
3 - 0
CON
40%
26%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |