Novigrad vs Kurilovec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
HNS
3 - 2
NOV
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
KUS
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
HDR
1 - 3
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 2
SOL
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
LUK
1 - 0
NOV
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Kurilovec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
NUK
1 - 4
JAP
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
PAZ
1 - 0
NUK
80%
14%
7%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
NUK
1 - 4
ZAG
30%
21%
48%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
TRN
3 - 1
NUK
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
NUK
0 - 0
DUB
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |