Novigrad vs Jadran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
ZAG
2 - 2
NOV
47%
22%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 0
PON
51%
21%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
ZAG
2 - 3
NOV
18%
21%
62%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 3
MAK
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ORI
6 - 2
NOV
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
JAP
1 - 2
DUB
16%
22%
62%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2019 |
PON
4 - 1
JAP
45%
23%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
NKJ
3 - 1
JAP
43%
22%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
JAP
1 - 4
TRN
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
DUG
0 - 3
JAP
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |