Novigrad vs Inter Zapresic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
69.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
NKC
1 - 1
NOV
39%
25%
37%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 0
ROV
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
JAP
1 - 0
NOV
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
4 - 0
NKR
66%
19%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NKB
1 - 0
NOV
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Inter Zapresic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
POM
1 - 0
INT
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
INT
5 - 0
SOL
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
INT
2 - 0
NKR
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SEG
1 - 0
INT
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
INT
2 - 1
ZAG
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |