Noves vs Guadamur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
51.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PUE
4 - 0
ECG
16%
19%
65%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
ECG
32%
23%
46%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ECG
0 - 3
SON
44%
24%
32%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ECG
1 - 0
VSA
55%
20%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ECG
3 - 0
MCB
60%
19%
21%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guadamur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAL
48%
22%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SON
3 - 1
GUA
61%
20%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
VSA
55%
21%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MCB
0 - 1
GUA
28%
21%
52%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
CTI
67%
18%
14%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |