Noves vs Fuensalida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
68.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ARG
3 - 1
ECG
62%
19%
20%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ECG
5 - 2
MEN
39%
22%
39%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CDE
2 - 0
ECG
53%
21%
27%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ECG
2 - 3
SCR
28%
22%
50%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
POL
2 - 0
ECG
50%
22%
29%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fuensalida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FUE
2 - 1
PUE
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CTI
1 - 1
FUE
9%
16%
75%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FUE
3 - 0
GUA
83%
12%
6%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
REC
2 - 1
FUE
10%
17%
73%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ARG
0 - 0
FUE
17%
20%
63%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |