Novelda UCF vs Villena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 1
NUD
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NUD
2 - 1
PIN
27%
23%
50%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NUD
3 - 3
VIJ
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
NUD
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NUD
0 - 0
POL
28%
23%
48%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 1
UNI
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
POL
3 - 3
VIL
79%
14%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAM
11%
18%
72%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 0
VIL
59%
21%
19%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
UEC
10%
15%
76%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -1 |