Novelda UCF vs Petrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
RED
2 - 3
NUD
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
NUD
0 - 0
BEN
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
MUR
2 - 0
NUD
44%
22%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
NUD
1 - 0
RAV
31%
22%
47%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
ATH
3 - 0
NUD
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
THD
2 - 0
PET
44%
24%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 0
PET
71%
17%
12%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
PET
0 - 1
ELU
74%
14%
11%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
PET
3 - 2
SPO
25%
22%
53%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
PET
3 - 4
RAV
19%
21%
60%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |