Novelda CF vs Villena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
ORI
2 - 1
NOV
84%
9%
6%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
NOV
2 - 1
YEC
73%
15%
13%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
ALB
7 - 2
NOV
84%
10%
7%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
NOV
2 - 3
CAT
76%
13%
11%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
LEV
3 - 0
NOV
85%
9%
6%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
VIL
2 - 1
GAN
63%
18%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
HEL
7 - 0
VIL
71%
15%
15%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
ORI
2 - 1
VIL
83%
10%
7%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
VIL
2 - 0
YEC
80%
11%
9%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
ALB
4 - 0
VIL
76%
13%
11%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |