Novelda CF vs Villarreal C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 2
NOV
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 0
RAY
44%
26%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
OLI
4 - 3
NOV
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 0
PAI
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALZ
0 - 0
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
NUC
34%
25%
41%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 0
VIL
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
SIL
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ELD
2 - 0
VIL
60%
21%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 0
ELC
50%
23%
28%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |