Novelda CF vs Rayo Ibense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
GAN
2 - 0
NOV
69%
20%
11%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAT
53%
26%
22%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
VAL
0 - 1
NOV
85%
11%
4%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
NOV
1 - 0
ONT
42%
29%
30%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
NUL
3 - 0
NOV
64%
22%
14%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Ibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
RAY
1 - 0
VIN
62%
22%
17%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
ALZ
3 - 0
RAY
82%
14%
5%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
RAY
1 - 0
BEN
37%
27%
36%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
REQ
3 - 0
RAY
52%
25%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
UDC
3 - 1
RAY
58%
23%
19%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |