Novelda CF vs Peña Soriano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.7%
11.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
MNC
3 - 1
NOV
64%
18%
18%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
NOV
3 - 1
LOR
73%
14%
13%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
ASP
4 - 0
NOV
66%
17%
17%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
NOV
2 - 1
HEL
68%
17%
15%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
NOV
2 - 1
LEV
46%
21%
33%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Peña Soriano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
SOR
2 - 3
LEV
46%
22%
33%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
ELC
0 - 2
SOR
74%
14%
12%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
SOR
2 - 1
CAT
71%
15%
14%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
MHN
4 - 3
SOR
75%
14%
11%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
SOR
2 - 3
ALB
63%
18%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |