Novelda CF vs Paterna CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
NOV
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
NOV
5 - 1
CUL
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
REQ
1 - 2
NOV
27%
27%
47%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 3
ACE
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
NOV
37%
27%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Paterna CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 0
JOV
56%
23%
20%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
PAT
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
PAT
42%
26%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PAT
0 - 3
CUL
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
REQ
0 - 2
PAT
31%
26%
43%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |