Novelda CF vs Orihuela CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 0
GRA
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
HOS
1 - 2
NOV
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 1
SAB
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
LLE
2 - 2
NOV
57%
23%
19%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 2
GIM
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
MLL
2 - 0
ORI
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
ORI
0 - 2
GRA
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
CEM
2 - 1
ORI
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
ORI
3 - 1
HOS
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
FCB
1 - 1
ORI
74%
16%
11%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |