Novelda CF vs Ontinyent CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ACE
0 - 1
NOV
18%
23%
60%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 1
JOV
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
RAY
2 - 0
NOV
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NOV
4 - 1
REC
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PAT
3 - 2
NOV
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ONT
0 - 1
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
6 - 0
ONT
48%
24%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ONT
3 - 1
ALZ
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SAG
2 - 0
ONT
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ONT
4 - 1
BOR
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |