Novelda CF vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
CAS
3 - 1
NOV
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 1
FIG
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
PAL
1 - 0
NOV
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 1
LOR
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
MLL
1 - 1
NOV
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
HER
1 - 1
GIR
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
YEC
2 - 2
HER
36%
29%
34%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
HER
0 - 0
GIM
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
CEM
0 - 1
HER
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
HER
0 - 0
RCD
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |