Novelda CF vs Segorbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
RAY
63%
22%
15%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
NOV
62%
23%
15%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 1
ORI
53%
25%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
NOV
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
ALM
79%
15%
6%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Segorbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ALM
4 - 0
SEG
73%
17%
11%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SEG
2 - 5
ELC
13%
18%
69%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
RAY
2 - 1
SEG
71%
17%
11%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SEG
0 - 1
TOR
19%
22%
59%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
SEG
81%
15%
4%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |