Novelda CF vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
33.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
FIG
1 - 0
NOV
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
NOV
2 - 0
PAL
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 0
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
NOV
2 - 2
MLL
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 1
NOV
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CAS
1 - 5
GIR
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
YEC
1 - 0
CAS
28%
32%
40%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CAS
0 - 0
GIM
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CEM
1 - 0
CAS
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
CAS
2 - 1
RCD
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |